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RUTHERFORD COUNTY, Tenn. (WGNS) - The National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center are tracking a multi-day severe weather threat for Rutherford County and all of Middle Tennessee. While the weekend offered clear skies and pleasant temperatures, a shift in the atmospheric pattern brings a risk for all types of severe hazards starting Monday night. National Weather Service meteorologist Alexandra Holley notes that the first wave of storms will likely arrive as a nocturnal event. Current models suggest the most intense activity will occur between 11:00 PM and 4:00 AM Monday into Tuesday morning.

Damaging winds are the primary concern for this first line of storms. While the tornado risk remains low, it's not zero. Residents should stay weather-aware during the overnight hours. The intensity of these storms may depend on how much instability remains in the atmosphere after sunset.

A second, more uncertain threat arrives later Tuesday night. A strong cold front is expected to push through the state, potentially sparking another round of severe weather Tuesday evening into Wednesday morning. The severity of this second wave depends on how quickly the atmosphere can recover and "recharge" after the Monday night storms. If the sun breaks through and temperatures warm on Tuesday afternoon, the risk for severe storms increases.

Because these events are expected to be after dark, officials urge everyone to have multiple ways to receive alerts, such as a NOAA weather radio or the Alert Rutherford emergency notification system.

Beyond the severe threat, this system brings much-needed moisture to the region. Local totals are projected to land between two and four inches of rainfall. This beneficial rain is expected to provide short-term drought relief for local farmers and gardeners. Once the front clears on Wednesday, high pressure will settle in, bringing cooler temperatures in the 60s and 70s for the remainder of the week.

Now is the time to prepare for severe weather. Be sure to stay close to a source of weather information like the Rutherford Weather channel. Search for @RuCoWeather and like, subscribe and turn on notifications on YouTube, Facebook and X. Also, do us a favor and share with your Rutherford County family and friends so they can also stay up to date on the weather.

PREVIOUSLY REPORTED ON SATURDAY

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RUTHERFORD COUNTY, Tenn. (WGNS) - The National Weather Service is tracking a significant storm system set to move through Rutherford County on Monday night. National Weather Service Meteorologist Krissy Hurley says a complex of thunderstorms will develop to the west before barreling through Middle Tennessee. While the system may lose some intensity as the sun goes down, it still packs a punch.

The current forecast puts Rutherford County and surrounding areas under a level 2/5 slight risk for severe weather. Forecasters warn that the storm timing could fluctuate, but residents should currently plan for activity between 10 p.m. Monday and 1 a.m. Tuesday. Because this is an overnight event, officials urge everyone to have multiple ways to receive alerts, such as a NOAA weather radio or the Alert Rutherford emergency notification system.

The main threats include damaging wind gusts and the possibility of "spin-up" tornadoes embedded within the line of storms. These tornadoes are often rain-wrapped and difficult to see, making early notification critical. Despite the severe risk, the system is expected to move quickly, which keeps the flash flooding risk low for Monday night. However, the overall pattern change is expected to bring a total of two to three inches of rain to the area over the next week, ending a dry spell for the month of April.

Be sure to stay close to a source of weather information and be sure between now and the event to search for @RuCoWeather and like, subscribe and turn on notifications for the Rutherford Weather channel. Find us on YouTube, Facebook and X. Also, do us a favor and share with your Rutherford County family and friends so they can also stay up to date on the weather.